models · Base rates
15 min · pencil, crayons
★★☆
What will you see?
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Read aloud Here are animals spotted at a park. Count each kind. Which will you probably see at your park tomorrow?
- Count each animal.
- Color one square for each one.
- Circle what you will probably see.
Which will you probably see at your park?
Grown-up corner
Why it matters: What usually happens is the best first guess: that is a base rate.
- Why are zebras rare in a park?
- Where would you probably see a zebra?
Extend it: Before a walk, guess together what you will see most, then count and check.
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